image

Numerical Simulations of How Economic Inequality Increases in Democratic Countries

Download Paper PDF: Download pdf
Author(s):
Abstract:

It is not easy to perform a numerical simulation of the path to a steady state in dynamic economic growth models in which households behave by generating rational expectations. It is much easier, however, if households are assumed to behave according to a procedure based on the maximum degree of comfortability (MDC), where MDC indicates the state at which a household feels most comfortable with its combination of income and assets. In this paper, I simulate how economic inequality increases in democratic countries under the supposition that households behave according to the MDC-based procedure. The results indicate that high levels of economic inequality can be generated and even increase in a democracy. As causes, I postulate households’ misunderstandings of the economic situation, a government against certain groups in the economy, or an upward trend in temporary rent incomes. I then present a criterion for establishing the socially acceptable level of economic inequality and point out a practical shortfall arising from the inability to distinguish temporary economic rents. 

How to cite:

Harashima, T. (2023). Numerical Simulations of How Economic Inequality Increases in Democratic Countries. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Volume XVIII, Fall, 3(81), 221 – 246. https://doi.org/10.57017/jaes.v18.3(81).07

References:

[1]      Atkinson, Anthony B., Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez (2011). Top Incomes in the Long Run of History, Journal of Economic Literature, 49(1), 3-71. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.49.1.3 

[2]      David H., Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger (1998). Computing Inequality: Have Computers Changed the Labor Market? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(4), 1169-1213. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355398555874

[3]      David H., Frank Levy and Richard J. Murnane (2003). The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1279-1333. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552801

[4]      Becker, R. A. (1980). On the Long-run Steady State in a Simple Dynamic Model of Equilibrium with Heterogeneous Households, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 95 (2), 375–382. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885506

[5]      Card, David and John E. DiNardo (2002). Skill-Biased Technological Change and Rising Wage Inequality: Some Problems and Puzzles, Journal of Labor Economics, 20(4), 733- 783. https://doi.org/10.1086/342055

[6]      Goldberg, P. K. and Pavcnik, N. (2007). Distributional Effects of Globalization in Developing Countries, Journal of Economic Literature, 45(1), 39-82. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.45.1.39 

[7]      Harashima, Taiji (2010). Sustainable Heterogeneity: Inequality, Growth, and Social Welfare in a Heterogeneous Population, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 24233.

[8]      Harashima, Taiji (2012). Sustainable Heterogeneity as the Unique Socially Optimal Allocation for Almost All Social Welfare Functions, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 40938.

[9]      Harashima, Taiji (2014). Sustainable Heterogeneity in Exogenous Growth Models: The Socially Optimal Distribution by Government’s Intervention,” Theoretical and Practical Research in Economic Fields, Vol. 5, No. 1, 73-100. https://doi.org/10.14505/tpref.v4.2(8).07

[10]   Harashima, Taiji (2016). Ranking Value and Preference: A Model of Superstardom, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 74626.

[11]   Harashima, Taiji (2017a). The Mechanism behind Product Differentiation: An Economic Model, Journal of Advanced Research in Management, Vol. 8, No. 2. pp. 95-111. https://doi.org/10.14505//jarm.v8.2(16).01

[12]   Harashima, Taiji (2017b). Sustainable Heterogeneity: Inequality, Growth, and Social Welfare in a Heterogeneous Population, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 51, No.1, pp. 31-80. 

[13]   Harashima, Taiji (2018a). Do Households Actually Generate Rational Expectations? “Invisible Hand” for Steady State, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 88822.

[14]   Harashima, Taiji (2018b). Ranking Value and Preference: A Model of Superstardom, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 52, No.1, pp. 27-40. 

[15]   Harashima, Taiji (2018c). Superstars in Team Sports: An Economic Model, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 86360.

[16]   Harashima, Taiji (2018d). Why Is Executive Compensation So High? A Model of Executive Compensation, Journal of Advanced Research in Management, 9, 2(18), 59-68. https://doi.org/10.14505//jarm.v9.2(18).03

[17]   Harashima, Taiji (2019). Do Households Actually Generate Rational Expectations? “Invisible Hand” for Steady State, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 52, No.2, pp. 49-70. 

[18]   Harashima, Taiji (2020a). Sustainable Heterogeneity as the Unique Socially Optimal Allocation for Almost All Social Welfare Functions, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 54, No.1, 71-95. 

[19]   Harashima, Taiji (2020b). Economic Inequality Exacerbated by Economic Rents from Exploitative Contracting, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 104178.

[20]   Harashima, Taiji (2020c). An Alternative Rationale for the Necessity of an Inheritance Tax, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 100015.

[21]   Harashima, Taiji (2020d). Rethinking the Ability-to-Pay and Equal Sacrifice Principles of Taxation: An Alternative Rationale for a Progressive Income Tax, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 102937.

[22]   Harashima, Taiji (2020e). Preventing Widening Inequality: Economic Rents and Sustainable Heterogeneity, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 103377.

[23]   Harashima, Taiji (2021a). Consequence of Heterogeneous Economic Rents under the MDC-based Procedure, Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Vol. 16, No. 2., 185-190.

[24]   Harashima, Taiji (2021b). Superstars in Team Sports: An Economic Model, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 55, No.1, 39-51. 

[25]   Harashima, Taiji (2021c). Economic Inequality and Heterogeneous Success Rates of Investment, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 110688.

[26]   Harashima, Taiji (2021d). Mechanisms that Make Economic Inequality Increase in Democratic Countries, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 108535.

[27]   Harashima, Taiji (2021f). Preventing Widening Inequality: Economic Rents and Sustainable Heterogeneity, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 55, No.1, 17-37. 

[28]   Harashima, Taiji (2022a). A Theory of Inflation: The Law of Motion for Inflation under the MDC-based Procedure, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 113161.

[29]   Harashima, Taiji (2022b). A Theory of Inflation: The Law of Motion for Inflation under the MDC-based Procedure, in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 54, No.1, 17-37. 

[30]   Harashima, Taiji (2022c). Numerical Simulations of Reaching a Steady State: No Need to Generate Any Rational Expectations, Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Vol. 17, No. 4., 321-339.

[31]   Harashima, Taiji (2023). Numerical Simulation of Reaching a Steady State: Effects of Economic Rents on Development of Economic Inequality, MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 117137.

[32]   Helpman, Elhanan (2016). Globalization and Wage Inequality, NBER Working Paper, No. 22944.

[33]   Kahneman, Daniel, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky (ed.) (1982). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press, NY.

[34]   Katz, Lawrence F. and Kevin M. Murphy (1992). Changes in Relative Wages, 1963-1987: Supply and Demand Factors,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 1, 35-78. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118323

[35]   Leamer, Edward E. (1998). In Search of Stolper-Samuelson Linkages between International Trade and Lower Wages,” in Imports, Exports, and the American Worker, Susan M. Collins (ed), Brookings Institution Press, Washington, D.C.

[36]   Parker, Nicholas (2014). Divergence: Wealth and Income Inequality in the United States, Econ South, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Vol. 16, No. 3.

[37]   Piketty, Thomas (2003), Income Inequality in France, 1901–1998,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 111, No. 5, 1004-1042.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/376955

[38]   Piketty, Thomas (2013). Le Capital au XXIe siècle translated by Arthur Goldhammer in English in 2014 with the title Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.

[39]   Piketty, Thomas and Emmanuel Saez (2003). Income Inequality in the United States, 1913–1998, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 118, No. 1, 1-41 http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/00335530360535135

[40]   Porter, Michael E. (1980). Competitive Strategy, Free Press, New York.

[41]   Porter, Michael E. (1985). Competitive Advantage, Free Press, New York. 

[42]   Saez, E. and Zucman, G. (2016). Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131 (2), 519-578. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw004